If even reported on, the mainstream media will do what they are able to cast the Iranian protester as a small and radical fragment of the society attempting to destroy the natural order while on the same page casting the Hamas rioters will be shown as peaceful human rights demonstrators just attempting to rectify wrongs. One can only wonder how the media can expect anybody to believe a word they say when they are so consistently on the wrong side of every issue. We have spoken about the Gazan situation lately and these articles can be found on our main page and going back over the past six weeks, so we will simply update a few aspects of what has happened over the last week and then talk more in depth on the Iranian situation.
The rioters in Gaza along the border, acting on the promptings from Hamas and Islamic Jihad, have been making a decent living earning from three hundred to five hundred dollars a day for launching incendiary kites and balloons into Israel burning forests, croplands and wilderness preserves which formerly were safe spaces for some endangered species. Reports tell us that three of the fires were in the Beeri forest, while the two others were in the Kissufim forest. Extensive damage was reportedly caused to the forest regions. On Sunday, an incendiary balloon was found in a populated area of the city of Sderot where Police bomb disposal experts neutralize the threat. Firefighters have been working non-stop in shifts over the past five weeks just to try and contain these fires, some of which have taken on firestorm proportions (see image below). The damages to crops alone has breached ten to twenty million dollars and the forests may take twenty years or far longer in some of the regions to recover and the wildlife has been permanently harmed.
In the more recent days Hamas and Islamic Jihad have resumed their rocket launching firing at least nine rockets towards the regional councils Hof Ashkelon, Sha’ar Hanegev and Eshkol in southern Israel. Fortunately, the Iron Dome systems intercepted one of the rockets headed for a populated area. Where there were no injuries and damage from the rockets was minimal, there are still costs both human and financial to these attacks. The obvious cost is that each Iron Dome interceptor costs over fifty-thousand dollars while the rockets they intercept cost a maximum of possibly twenty dollars. This is the difference between the two societies, one places the cost of destroying life at twenty dollars a shot with no guarantees while the other protects lives at whatever cost it takes. The further costs are the peoples’ lives which are interrupted by the alert sirens where they then hurry to find appropriate shelter either in a bomb room or in an underground shelter. Hamas and Islamic Jihad are willing to destroy the land if it will kill the Jews. They do not want Israel for their gain and to live as a productive society, and they are determined to make Israel unproductive for the society who is attempting to make these deserts bloom. This is a basic difference between the Middle Eastern tribal mentality and the mentality of the Western World.
Where in the Western World all emphasis is on productive ventures and taking care of those closest to you and attempting not to harm those around you, in the Middle East you do everything in your power to destroy the livelihoods and lands of those who are different from you. This is evident in Syria where there are three or more groups fighting against Bashir al-Assad while they also fight against one another. Libya is a similar example where the twelve or twenty or however many tribes spend most of their efforts on destroying everything the next tribe owns and not on forming a cohesive society with single national governance and where everyone works for mutual betterment. There is the Shia-Sunni-Kurd wars in Iraq where the government has destroyed most of the lands of the Sunni and are now doing similarly to the Kurds. In Syria troops from Turkey are sweeping across the north killing Kurds because they are not Turks. In Yemen there is violence with the Houthis attempting to cleanse the nation of every other tribe. This is also what Iran is supporting across the Middle East assisting every Shia tribe in cleansing the lands of those who are not Shia or are not Arab or Iranian. The one exception is Hamas who Iran supports simply because they hate the Jews more than they hate the Sunni terrorists of Hamas. Should Israel pick up tomorrow and go settle in space, then Iran would turn on Hamas and assist Islamic Jihad (Shia) destroy Hamas (Sunni). There you have the entire Middle East in a simple package, destroy everything which is not of your branch of Islam, tribe, family until there can be only one.
In Iran, the people have poured into the streets with a simple, almost Western, demand for the government to leave Syria, Yemen and elsewhere alone and start to pay attention to them. They have suffered spiraling inflation and youth unemployment in double digits with no relief in sight. These protests closed down two of the main markets within the capital of Tehran (see video below). This round of protests has thus far been nonviolent and the government has yet to make any moves to restrict or end these demonstrations. These are peaceful protests even if somewhat disorganized and boisterous and rambunctious with chants catching on getting rousing responses. Their anger is palpable and these are not just youth from the colleges but also taxi drivers, merchants, shop owners, teachers and people from almost all walks of life in Iran. These have been reported as some of the most serious protests in Iran since the 2009 crackdown where the government, in an attempt to decapitate their resistance as they saw it, arrested, tried and executed thousands of the protesters. Despite that the people are rising and demanding that their needs be addressed first and foremost by their government while others included in the protests, some reports claim this view is a majority view, want the government to step down and a true democratic government to replace the Mullahs.
Where will these protest lead is the big question. Will the people have sufficient power to bring down the Mullocracy and their tyrannical theocratic and oppressive regime? This will not come to fruition through peaceful protests as was proven in 2009 when the government simply broke up the protests by using teargas, water cannons and eventually live bullets killing people wantonly and randomly. If you were in the front approaching the troops, you were a target. What was worse was the unleashing of the Basij Militias onto the university campuses where they sought out people from the protest movement and beat them sometimes to death using bats, iron rods and other usually blunt weapons though at times they came wielding swords. These current protests, from what we have viewed, have a wide assortment of people out marching in the streets from the always-present youth to men and women in dress clothes such as button down shirts and other clothing which would be worn by white collar workers. When the working classes representing different stratum of employment are out and the shops along the protest routs are closed in support plus additionally the protests are not restricted to a single area but are filling the smaller streets of the bazaars and even inside a shopping mall shows that these protests are wide ranging. This can be found in the extended video below. We wish that the protests alone are capable of bringing change though we seriously doubt the reigning theocrats will budge or give up their control and comfortable, if not lavish, lifestyles. For some reason we do not buy their pious we live a Spartan existence completely lacking in overtly great comfort and we eat as the little people eat, you know, pheasant under glass, caviar, roasted lamb with mint jelly and other simply meals.
Unfortunately, dictatorial governance does not topple easily. The Mullahs are little different than the man they back in Syria, Bashir al-Assad, and in being his ilk, the Mullahs will not step aside even if they have to line the streets with corpses. They have their Basij Militias, their Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) who are sworn to perform the bidding of the Supreme Leader, Grand Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Khamenei. When the decision is reached that the people have had their say, they have expressed their protests, and now it is time to restore the rightful order of things, these forces will confront the protesters and demand that they cease and desist immediately. This will last at the most three or four days before they start to break up the protests. About a week of teargas, water cannons, rubber bullets and nightsticks will force many of the protesters to give it up and return to their normal activities. This is also how the Mullahs’ government weeds out regular people such that they can explain to themselves that the remaining protesters are radicals attempting to overthrow the government and thus traitors. This is when they take off the silk gloves and replace it with their iron fist. Now they can perform mass arrests and soon simply start shooting the protester in the streets. The reason for the mass arrests is so they can take down the confessions of how these protesters were paid for by President Trump and by Israel or Saudi Arabia. They tape these confessions, after cleaning up the traitor such that they appear to not have been tortured, and play these confessions on Iranian State run television as proof of foreign provocateurs and agents being behind the protests using these as a warning to the people. This is the result in nations where the ruling elite have all the firearms and the people have next to nothing with which to fight back.
Is it possible that this will be the eventuality where the people find the will to storm the ramparts and bring everything down. That will actually depend on how the Mullahs decide to treat these protests. If their actions to shut everything down come before the majority of the protesting people who are less engaged in regime change have spent their energy and have begun to believe that perhaps this is not the time, then they could enrage the public. This might be the time where any overtly violent attempts to shut down the protests will rile the people into an actual revolt. Even troops armed with full automatic submachine guns and steeled determination backed by a high discipline and full belief they are doing the right thing can be rushed by a crowd of a few thousand, and these protests appear to have the thousands and a few spare thousands, such a cadre of enforcers would be overrun and probably before they used up all their ammunition. Now those who overran the enforcers have weapons and ammunition and the revolution is on. The story of the Jews revolt in the Warsaw Ghetto shows how you start with a single, old, barely functional revolver and hold off an entire Panzer division for almost six weeks and can be an instruction manual for how to start a revolution. The Iranian people have a proud heritage as Persians and many feel that Supreme Leader, Grand Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Khamenei is a usurper and is not a fellow Persian. They also resent the Mullahs thinking similarly that they too are not truly Persian. This could add to their frustration the feeling that these outsiders are using their nation for their designs which do not serve their Persian ancestry and are destroying their Persia. The one item we can guarantee is that the current governance of Iran is playing with a potentially explosive situation and even if it does not explode this time, there will come that point in time when the protests grow beyond anybody’s control and the theocratic governance will be overthrown and the replacement will very likely be some form of representative governance which will resemble a republic, parliamentary democracy or something closely resembling a Western nation. The Iran that emerges will be closer to a Western governance than a Middle East governance and this will bring great wealth to the Iranian people and perhaps they will set an example for an Islamic governance which values similar principles as the developed Western World. Hope springs eternal.